" The positive expectation game for Germany achieved via the use of a
common currency reached its peak when the debt of the countries in the
south of Europe reached levels that could not be financed by the markets
any longer.
There is no positive expectation for Germany in the EU at this point
because the failed nations want everyone to share the losses. As a
matter of fact, it appears that in order for the EU to survive, the
Germans should start giving back their profits to rebalance the system.
That could take the form of money printing, or of issuing eurobonds, or
even of provision of German guaranties to other nations for financing
their debt. As a result, if EU and the euro must continue to exist, the
German standard of living must decline. This appears to be unacceptable
to Germans as the recent poll showed.
One alternative is for
Germany to get out of the euro. The cost will be high in the short term
because the newly adopted German currency will appreciate substantially
in relation to the euro and exports will slow down. However, Germany
will be able to keep its current surplus and invest in other European
countries by buying cheap assets, something that cannot be done with the
euro at this point because recent experience has shown that internal
devaluation has a minimum impact on asset prices and such process mainly
affects the salaries of workers. Essentially, if Germany exits the
euro, that will prevent its wealth from getting diluted, and it can use
it to assist other countries in rebuilding. If Germany finances those
countries now, it is possible that no positive effect will result in the
longer-term because of the structural problems in their economies."
--http://seekingalpha.com/article/885911-germany-may-exit-the-euro-before-greece-does
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"It's becoming clear that there is only one sensible solution ahead of us as the Eurozone’s problems evolve: Germany and the other countries suited to a strong currency should leave.
If they do, the European Central Bank (ECB) will be free to pursue the
easy money policies recommended by Keynesians and monetarists alike.
It's increasingly clear that Germany has no option but to behave like
any creditor seeking to protect its interests – and do its best to
defuse the growing resentment against her from the Eurozone’s debtors."
--http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-09-25/guest-post-why-germany-going-exit-eurozone
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