17 year cycle

 In 2005, the Fed raised rates 8 times, starting at 2.25% and ending at 4.25%.

In 2006, the Fed raised rates 4 times (with the last time on June 29, 2006), ending at 5.25%.

In 2022, the Fed raised rates 7 times, starting at 0.25% and ending at 4.25%.  (The Fed raised rates much quicker in 2022 than it did in 2005, so this is not an identical rate hike history, but the end rate is the same.)

In 2023, the Fed raised rates 4 times (with the last time on July 27, 2023), ending at 5.25%.

See also: https://aftermath2022.blogspot.com/2017/03/17-year-business-cycle.html , which speculated about a double pi cycle.  A pi cycle (per Martin Armstrong) has 3,141 days, and a double pi cycle has 6,282 days. If you start at June 29, 2006 (the last time rates were raised in that cycle) and add 6282 you get Sept 10, 2023 (on which nothing significant happened).  

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Update:  I think there is something to this.  

The 1973-1975 recession began in November 1973 and was triggered by an oil embargo in October 1973 by OPEC (in response to Western support for Israel during the Yom Kippur War). So let's use October 6, 1973 (when the war started), as a starting point.

This brings us to December 18, 1990.  Nothing happened on this date, but the 1990-1991 recession began in July 1990.  So backtrack 3 months to July 1, 1990.  

This brings us to September 12, 2007.   The Federal Reserved noticed a slowdown and cuts on September 18, 2007 to 4.75%.  The 2007-2009 recession officially began on December 1, 2007.  So advance the date 3 months. 

Now advance another 6282 days until you get to February 11, 2025.  Or maybe 3 months earlier which is November 12, 2024.  The next recession should begin around these dates.

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The Mayans had a 52 year cycle where their 260 day and 360 days cycle repeated.  This was 18,720 days long.  One third of this is 6,240 days, which is almost exactly one month longer than 17 years.  So if you use October 1, 1973 as a starting point, the next dates would be November 1, 1990;  December 2, 2007; and January 1, 2025.

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Hmm, start at Thursday, June 29, 2006 and add 6,240 days and what do you get? Sunday, July 30, 2023.  When you adjust for the day of the week, you get Thursday, July 27, 2023.  These are 6,237 days apart.  So maybe this is the number to use for a double pi cycle.

When did the Fed first cut rates after 2006? On Sept 18, 2007.  So 6237 days after this is October 15, 2024.

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So I just said that the Feb first cut rates during that cycle on Sept 18, 2007.  Go back 6237 days.  You get Aug 21, 1990.  When did the Fed first cut rates in that cycle?  On July 13, 1990.  This is a difference of 39 days, which is pretty close.

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But there is no Fed meeting this year in October. There is one on Sept 17-18, 2024.  So could this be almost an exact repeat of 2007?  This is too freaky. See also: September 18 is rate cut day.

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Update (yet again):  Article about the bear market of 1973-1974 - https://jasonzweig.com/learning-from-the-bear-market-of-1973-1974/