Thursday, April 30, 2026

GDP is now $31.9 Trillion

 See: https://bea.gov/news/2026/gdp-advance-estimate-1st-quarter-2026

To get the actual number you have to go to Related Materials / Key source data and assumptions and download the Excel spreadsheet, then go to the Advance tab, and to to 2026Q1, where the cell has 31,856.3 as Gross Domestic Product

Debt to the public as of 3/31/26 was $31.4 trillion.  So the Debt to GDP ratio was 98.4%, which is higher than the 96.3% it was one year ago. 

The Drudge Report headline this morning read: US DEBT TOPS 100% OF GDP, linking to the WSJ, which uses $31.265 as Debt to the Public and it doesn't state what number it uses for GDP.  So I think the WSJ article is inaccurate.

I think there is a danger line here before the ultimate crash, but we haven't reached it yet and probably won't until 2032 when the Social Security trust fund runs out.

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