Wednesday, November 16, 2022

Deficit of $1.4 trillion in FY 2022

In fiscal year 2022, which ended on September 30, the federal budget deficit totaled nearly $1.4 trillion.  The deficit for September was $430 billion, primarily because of student debt relief.  The deficit for October was $83 billion.

https://www.cbo.gov/publication/58592/html

On 10/3/22, the national debt exceeded $31 trillion for the first time in history.  I expect it to cross $32 trillion about July 1, 2023.

When did it first exceed $15.5 trillion?  On about 3/8/12.  So it doubled in the last 9.5 years.  So this should be at $62 trillion in 2031.

Update 12/8/22: The net interest on the debt increased 29% YOY from FY2021 to FY2022, from $413 billion to $534 billion.  At this rate, it will double every 3 years. The principal is going up as well as the rate in a doom feedback loop. Will it exceed $1 trillion in 2025?

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