Here is a checklist of the situation with the government debt.
1. Monthly deficit less than 0.6% of the debt to the public. (If this is true, then the doubling time is 10 years or more). For August because there was a surplus, PASS.
2. Debt to the Public less than 101% of GDP. The Debt to the Public is $26 trillion but the GDP is $26.8 trillion. PASS.
3. Net interest is less than defense spending. For August, net interest was $72 billion, but defense spending was $62 billion. FAIL.
4. Net interest is less than the primary deficit (which is the deficit excluding interest). For August, because there was a surplus. FAIL.
5. Net interest is less than 25% of tax revenues. For August, FAIL.
6. Net interest is less than $85 billion for the month. ($85 billion is $1 trillion / 12, rounded up). PASS.
7. The Debt to GDP ratio is increased less than 2% from the previous year. The current debt to the public/GDP ratio (as of 9/1/23) is 96.9%. It was at 92.9% just a few months earlier. FAIL.
If these are all fails then the situation is completely out of control. So things aren't that bad, yet.
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