As of today Feb 12, 2026, the debt to the public is $31,010,830,716,181.61 .
I had previously predicted it would hit this number on 3/1/26, so this is a couple of weeks early.
This was 5 months after it hit $30 trillion in September 2025. It was at $29 trillion just 2 months prior on July 4, 2025.
But under the 2 year pattern theory, the debt level is only growing arithmetically, not exponentially. Let's see.
The debt was at $27 trillion on 1/23/24, just over 2 years ago.
It was at $23 trillion on 12/28/21, just over 2 years before that.
It was at $18 trillion on on 4/7/20, just under 2 years before that. (I added an extra trillion in there to account for the COVID spending).
So since 2020 (except for the extra COVID spending) the debt has been increasing almost exactly $2 trillion per year. And it goes in a 2 year cycle to account for hitting the debt limit.
So, it should hit $32 trillion on about August 12, 2026.
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