Tuesday, November 25, 2025

The October 2025 deficit was $284 billion

 The receipts in October were $404 billion, and the outlays were $689 billion. The outlays were higher than any month in FY 2025 except August when they were also $689 billion.

If you think October is bad, just wait until November, which usually has the highest monthly deficit.  Last year the November 2024 deficit was $367 billion and in November 2023 it was $317 billion.

Medicare spending was $151 billion in October, up from $77 billion in October 2024 and $24 billion in October 2023.  What is up with that?

Source: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/static-data/published-reports/mts/MonthlyTreasuryStatement_202510.pdf

Top Cities in the World by Population

1 Jakarta Indonesia  41914 
2 Dhaka Bangladesh  36585 
3 Tokyo Japan  33413 
4 New Delhi India  30222 
5 Shanghai China  29559 
6 Guangzhou China  27563 
7 Cairo Egypt  25566 
8 Manila Philippines  24735 
9 Kolkata India 23768 
10 Seoul, South Korea  22490 
11 Karachi Pakistan  21423 
12 Mumbai India  20203 
13 São Paulo Brazil  18950 
14 Bangkok Thailand  18180 
15 Ciudad de México, Mexico  17734 
16 Beijing China  17013 
17 Lahore Pakistan  15156 
18 Istanbul Turkey  15015 
19 Moscow, Russia  14525 
20 Ho Chi Minh City Viet Nam  14053 
21 Buenos Aires Argentina  14018 
22 New York City, US  13920 
23 Shenzhen China  13878 
24 Bengaluru India  13187 
25 Osaka Japan  12964 
26 Lagos Nigeria  12792 
27 Los Angeles, US  12740 
28 Luanda Angola  11370 
29 Chennai India  11153 
30 Kinshasa, DR Congo 10944 
31 Bogotá Colombia  10624 
32 Lima Peru  10580 
33 London UK  10416 
34 Hajipur India  9942 
35 Rio de Janeiro Brazil  9500 
36 Paris France  9382 
37 Hyderabad India  9191 
38 Tehran, Iran 9175 
39 Taipei, Taiwan 9137 
40 Bandung Indonesia  8909 
41 Kuala Lumpur Malaysia  8444 
42 Dar es Salaam, Tanzania 7795 
43 Suzhou China  7731 
44 Ahmedabad India  7632 
45 Hangzhou China  7500 
46 Wuhan China  7364 
47 Tianjin China  7285 
48 Alexandria Egypt  7267 
49 Nagoya Japan  7146 
50 Johannesburg South Africa  7077   
Source: https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.development.desa.pd/files/undesa_pd_2025_wup2025_summary_of_results.pdf

Update:  I think this is a selected list of cities.  Where are Chicago, Dallas, Houston and Toronto?  They all have metropolitan areas with more than 7 millions people.

Monday, November 24, 2025

Not Britney - Mandy Moore - Candy (Official Video)


This was released in August 1999 and it is considered Bubblegum Pop.  

The words are very hard to hear so here are part of the lyrics:
I'm so addicted to the loving that you're feeding to me (ooh)Can't do without itThis feeling's got me weak in the knees (oh, baby, baby)Body's in withdrawal, every time you take it away (ooh)Can't you hear me calling? Begging you to come out and play(Oh, yeah)
So baby, come to me (baby)Show me who you areSweet to meLike sugar to my heart (ooh, baby)I'm craving for you (I'm craving)I'm missing you like candy (missing you like candy)

Not Britney - Do You Know (What It Takes)


Here is another song that I don't think I have every heard before that sounds like something Britney Spears would sing.  It was released in the US in May 1997.  I really like this song.

Monday, November 17, 2025

Not Britney - Show Me Love


This song "Show Me Love" sounds exactly like Britney Spears and that's who I always thought the singer was.  But this is from a Swedish singer named Robyn, who professionally goes by only one name.  This song was released in the US in October 1997.

To make it more confusing, there is another popular song named Show Me Love, which is a totally different song, by Robin, and it was released in 1993.

Britney Spears first popular song was "Baby One More Time" and it was released in September 1998.

Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Monday, November 3, 2025

GDP is now $30.4 trillion

 Actually, we have no idea what GDP is.  The $30.4 trillion at the end of FY 2025 is what I had forecast about 6 months ago, and I think that number came from a Social Security projection.  This number is still bigger than the Debt to the Public number, for now.

BEA is now shutdown until the government reopens.  No loss.  The whole debt to GDP ratio is heavily manipulated anyways.