M4, my own economic measurement, was at 20172.4 on 11/30/2012.
When was it at half this amount? On 12/31/04, it was at 10089.7. So the half-life is right at 8 years. So we can expect it to be about double the current level in about 8 years, in 2020. And double again in 2028 and then again in 2036. Somewhere in that range is where the fun begins, in my opinion.
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