Monday, November 13, 2023

October 2023 deficit was $67 billion; $105 billion missing

 The Treasury just issued their monthly treasury statement for October 2023 here: 

https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/mts/mts1023.pdf

Key points:  1. the deficit was $66.564 billion; 2. net interest was $76 billion; 3. defense spending was $87 billion; 4. education spending was $22 billion.

Overall, this is a better month than most but this is because the Treasury Department gets a lot of tax revenue in October because it is following the end of the September 2023 quarter.

But here is the puzzling thing for me.  The debt to the public at the end of September was $26.330 trillion. At the end of October it was $26.576 trillion, for an increase of $246 billion for the month.  The Treasury account checking account at the Fed at the end of September was $679 billion and at the end of October it was $753 billion for an increase of $74 billion.

So the Treasury borrowed $246 billion, of that money it used $67 billion, and it saved $74 billion.  Where did the other $105 billion go?  Maybe I can ask Catherine Austin Fitts to look into it.

Does this happen every month?  Maybe I can go back and look at September when I have time.

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So I looked at September 2023 and there is extra money.  The treasury borrowed $286 billion in September, the deficit was $166 billion, and the Treasury General Account increased by $178 billion.  So we have the opposite problem - where did $58 billion magically appear from?

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I was thinking that maybe it offset a change in the Social Security Trust Fund balance or something.  But if you look at the national debt as a whole, the problem is even worse.

On 9/30/23, the total national debt was $33.167 trillion.  On 10/31/23, this jumped to $33.700 trillion.  So the debt increased by $533 billion.  The monthly deficit was $67 billion and the general account increased by $74 billion.  So where did the other $392 billion go?  Accrued interest you say.  So yes there was accrued interest on 10/2 of $266 billion ($7.103 tn - $6.837 tn).  But there is still $126 billion missing.  Where did it go?

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Update:  On 10/31/2023 the total national debt was $33.7 trillion.  One year earlier on 10/31/2022, it was $31.238 trillion.  So it increased 7.9% in one year.

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