Monday, September 8, 2014

Alternative History

From: http://ants-and-grasshoppers.blogspot.com/2014/09/the-freedom-to-secede-anywhere-in-world.html

One of the most interesting questions that can be asked in terms of a lively discussion is historically what would have happened if there was a CSA bordering a USA?

Here's our theories:

**  The importation of slaves was outlawed in the CSA Constitution of 1861, thus slavery would slowly have collapsed under its own weight at about the same time as mechanization comes to agriculture in the 1870s.

The freed slaves would become sharecroppers, or become a part of the workforce necessary in the manufacturing boom in the CSA or just migrate North to experience real prejudice like current history showed.
**  Because there was no Civil War and thus no Reconstruction, there was no Ku Klux Klan..  Then again the modern Klan we all know and hate was born in Illinois a Union state in the 1890s, and little to nothing to do with the original Klan formed and dissolved in the late 1860s in Tennessee

**  The territories west of the Mississippi eventually seek statehood, and must decide with which nation they will align themselves.  Arizona and New Mexico enter the Confederacy.

The CSA will want access to the Pacific Ocean so ultimately by diplomatic solution of military conflict, they would ultimately claim southern California.
** Southern manufacturing expands rapidly as investments pour into the CSA from wealthy Southerners, as well as some Northern and European investors.  This creates continued tensions from the USA but little they can do to stop the wealth expansion

**  CSA makes all its currency backed by gold and silver.

Southern banks are not regulated by the government and are allowed to coin their own money thus fractional banking is not allowed in the CSA and there will never be the creation of a Fed-like entity to control the money supply.
**  Oil is discovered in Texas, Oklahoma and the Gulf of Mexico and over time, the CSA becomes an exporter of petroleum products to the North, as Northern oil fields do not produce what they need. The CSA is entirely self-sufficient in oil and gas.

**  Coal is also produced and exported to the North from the vast fields of Kentucky, Tennessee and Virginia (remember that there is no West Virginia if the CSA is allowed to peaceably exist)

Thus the South would be a major regional and global player in agriculture, silver mining, oil and now coal...   The US would be largely economically dependent on their former countrymen.
**  When World War I occurs, the CSA does not intercede militarily or economically at any point in the fighting since the CSA would not have lent money to one side vs another like the US did, and ultimately Germany wins..

Because of the Kaiser victory, there is no Versailles treaty, no war reparations, no ultimate German economic depression or economic hyper-inflation..

Thus no birth nor rise of the Nazi party, no Hitler, and no second World War (unless France provoked it) and no Holocaust killing 12 million people including 6 million Jews..   You'd still have people embrace Aryan superiority myths but there'd be no government sponsored 'Final Solution'.

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