"Just when the adverse market reactions will occur cannot be
predicted. But when they do so, the U.S. economy will be crushed by an
avalanche of unstoppable magnitude.
Once creditors determine that U.S. Treasury’s are no longer the
safest form of investment available, demand for those Treasury’s will
decline, interest rates will rise, and the cost of servicing the debt
will explode. Even a modest 1 per cent interest rate increase, for
example, would wipe out all the deficit reduction included in last
year’s Budget Control Act. In other words, all the pain envisaged in
the fiscal cliff would provide no deficit relief at all.
In reality, if market forces move against U.S. Treasury’s they would
not impose a 1 per cent cost. Interest rates would increase more likely
to 5 or 6 per cent per annum on the initial tranche. Such penalties
would require massive and immediate cuts to Social Security Medicare and
National defense and most likely would take Medicaid right off the
federal accounts. Even the Congressional Budget Office projects that,
under the most likely scenario, in 30 years from now, net interest
payments on the U.S. national debt will amount to $3.8 trillion per
annum in real 2012 dollars. That is more than total government spending
in 2011."
--http://charlesrowley.wordpress.com/2012/11/26/when-market-forces-bring-down-the-american-eagle/
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