I believe that Joe Biden will win in 2020. And when I explain my reasoning, you will say that that is the stupidest thing you have ever heard.
I believe that Americans vote for whoever has the shortest last name. And if the last name has the same number of letters, then the one who comes first in the alphabet will win. Now, this isn't a perfect predictor, but it is pretty close.
1964 Johnson v Goldwater.
1968 Nixon v Humphrey
1972 Nixon v McGovern
1976 Carter v Ford. My theory failed here.
1980 Reagan v Carter. My theory failed here.
1984 Reagan v Mondale.
1988 Bush v Dukakis
1992 Clinton v Bush. My theory failed here
1996 Clinton v Dole. My theory failed here.
2000 Bush v Gore.
2004 Bush v Kerry.
2008 Obama v McCain
2012 Obama v Romney
2016 Trump v Clinton
2020 Biden v Trump (prediction)
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